MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:41:34
SM
Saturday, April 29
LO
League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Breyer Group Stadium
CU
Leyton Orient
1 - 0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Kelman (33'), Pratley (45+2'), Moncur (64'), Beckles (89'), Vigouroux (90+2')
Kelman (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (32')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.36% (0.020999999999994 0.02) 27.3% (0.0019999999999989 0) 25.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.55% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.5% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)75.97% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.35%
    Carlisle United 25.34%
    Draw 27.3%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.34%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient452612760332790
3Northampton TownNorthampton452214961421980
4Stockport CountyStockport4522121164362878
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4520151065422375
6Salford City452291472531975
7Bradford CityBradford442015958391975
8Mansfield TownMansfield4520121370551572
9BarrowBarrow45188194752-562
10Swindon TownSwindon451513175954558
11Tranmere RoversTranmere451513174547-258
12Grimsby Town451513174856-858
13Sutton UnitedSutton451512184557-1257
14Newport CountyNewport451414175154-356
15Doncaster RoversDoncaster45167224563-1855
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe441315164356-1354
17Walsall451119154448-452
18Gillingham451313193549-1452
19Harrogate TownHarrogate451215185867-951
20Colchester UnitedColchester451213204449-549
21AFC Wimbledon451115194859-1148
22Crawley TownCrawley451113214769-2246
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool45915215177-2642
RRochdale45910264569-2437
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