SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
40.29% ( 0.09) | 27.7% ( 0) | 32.01% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.1% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( -0.04) | 57.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( -0.03) | 78.38% ( 0.03) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( 0.03) | 28% ( -0.03) |
