SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
24.31% ( 0.31) | 25.07% ( 0.13) | 50.62% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.23) | 51.54% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( -0.2) | 73.34% ( 0.2) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.16) | 36.03% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.19% ( 0.16) | 72.81% ( -0.16) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.27) | 20.37% ( 0.27) |
