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League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
ST

Harrogate
1 - 0
Swindon

Moon (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Port Vale
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 0-2 Swindon Town

Swindon are by far the more in-form team heading into Saturday's affair, and anything less than a victory would be deemed less than ideal. We are backing the visitors to cruise to a relatively comfortable win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
26.44% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 25.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 48.01% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)73.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)34.37% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.08% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 26.44%
    Swindon Town 48%
    Draw 25.55%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Harrogate
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-0 Colchester
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Port Vale
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Swindon
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy


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