Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
57.26% ( 0.11) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 19.67% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( 0.04) | 48.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( 0.04) | 70.6% ( -0.04) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% ( 0.05) | 16.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( 0.1) | 46.56% ( -0.1) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.16% ( -0.06) | 38.84% ( 0.06) |