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League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
R
Harrogate
1 - 1
Rochdale
Sims (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keohane (24')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Rochdale

There is no real pressure on either side heading into this match, which could create an entertaining contest. Rochdale were excellent against Sutton last time out and certainly have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils on Monday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
57.26% (0.112 0.11) 23.07% (-0.035 -0.04) 19.67% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.041000000000004 0.04)48.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.038 0.04)70.6% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)38.84% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.57% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 57.25%
    Rochdale 19.67%
    Draw 23.07%
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 19.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-3 Harrogate
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Walsall
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Rochdale
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-2 Walsall
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4620161066432376
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438
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