SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Stockport County |
29.78% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) | 47.21% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.07) | 38.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( -0.07) | 60.7% ( 0.07) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( -0.04) | 25.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.3% ( -0.05) | 59.69% ( 0.05) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.03) | 16.62% ( 0.03) |
