SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Gillingham | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Mansfield Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Barrow | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Northampton Town | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe Alexandra | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
33% ( -0) | 27.58% ( -0) | 39.43% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% ( 0.01) | 56.94% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% ( 0.01) | 77.85% ( -0) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( 0) | 32.17% ( 0) |
