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Monday, August 29
Jun 5, 2022 at 3pm UK at London Stadium
Solihull
2 - 1
Grimsby Town
McAtee (69'), Maguire-Drew (111')
Cropper (76'), Fox (120'), Abrahams (120+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hudlin (45')
Storer (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Grimsby Town
Sunday, June 5 at 3pm in National League

We said: Solihull Moors 1-2 Grimsby Town

With the stakes having been raised, no-one should expect the flurry of goals from the semi-finals stage. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Grimsby's resilience during their game at Wrexham, leading us to predict a narrow victory for a team who may just have the edge in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Solihull Moors in this match.

Result
Solihull MoorsDrawGrimsby Town
45.58% (-1.367 -1.37) 23.94% (0.313 0.31) 30.48% (1.054 1.05)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (-0.885 -0.88)42.47% (0.88500000000001 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12% (-0.889 -0.89)64.87% (0.888 0.89)
Solihull Moors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (-0.899 -0.9)18.84% (0.898 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7% (-1.524 -1.52)50.29% (1.523 1.52)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.248 0.25)26.6% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (0.327 0.33)61.82% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Solihull Moors 45.58%
    Grimsby Town 30.48%
    Draw 23.93%
Solihull MoorsDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.195 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.303 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.48%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Solihull 3-1 Chesterfield
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-3 Solihull
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-0 Bromley
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Weymouth 2-4 Solihull
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 4-5 Grimsby Town
Saturday, May 28 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 4-4 Grimsby Town
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, May 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Maidenhead
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League
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