Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Newport County.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.