Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
