Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
