With Bolton currently on a high ahead of eventually appointing a new manager, they are the clear favourites for this contest. However, we feel that Reading could benefit from being the underdogs to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining tussle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.