MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:39:50
SM
Saturday, April 29
P
League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
FG
Portsmouth
1 - 0
Forest Green
Dale (51')
Lowery (38'), Dale (44'), Towler (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrick (44'), Godwin-Malife (74')
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawForest Green Rovers
62.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 21.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)45.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.62% (0.036999999999999 0.04)41.38% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)77.42% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 62.49%
    Forest Green Rovers 16.37%
    Draw 21.13%
PortsmouthDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 62.49%
1-1 @ 10.04%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.13%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, March 26 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds452712680374393
4Barnsley452681180453586
5Bolton WanderersBolton4522121159342578
6Derby CountyDerby4521131167452276
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452351773541974
8Portsmouth4517181059481169
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe45208175749868
10Charlton AthleticCharlton451613166864461
11Lincoln CityLincoln451320124647-159
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood451415165149257
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44168205059-956
14Exeter CityExeter451411206166-553
15Bristol Rovers441411195568-1353
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham451411204359-1653
17Burton Albion441410205679-2352
18Port Vale451310224768-2149
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451114204854-647
20MK Dons451111234466-2244
21Morecambe451014214575-3044
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge44127253967-2843
23Accrington StanleyAccrington451011243876-3841
RForest Green RoversForest Green4569303187-5627
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