SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
70.59% ( 0.02) | 17.3% ( -0.01) | 12.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( 0.02) | 37.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( 0.03) | 59.43% ( -0.03) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( 0.01) | 9.4% ( -0.01) |
