SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
29.69% ( -0.04) | 25.73% ( -0.02) | 44.57% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( 0.06) | 50.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( 0.06) | 72.62% ( -0.05) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( 0) | 31.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0) | 67.65% ( -0) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( 0.06) | 22.69% ( -0.06) |
