With both teams enjoying strong periods of form, particularly the home side, this has the potential to be an entertaining fixture. However, we cannot back against Plymouth, who should have enough quality to see out this contest during the final stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
