Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
