With just three games left to play, a place in the playoffs is now unattainable for Bolton and they will now look to close out the season on a high. They go up against an Accrington Stanley side who have struggled to get going on the road, picking up 16 points from a possible 63 so far. We predict the hosts will come out victorious on Monday, albeit by a slender margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
