Given the contrasting home and away records of the respective teams, there should only be one winner on Saturday. However, with the stakes and desire far higher in the visitors dressing room, we are predicting an hard-earned share of the spoils for Gillingham.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
