Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
