MX23RW : Saturday, April 15 20:18:17
SM
West Ham vs. Arsenal: 16 hrs 41 mins
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd
2 - 3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
FT(HT: 2-2)
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Oxford have been the stronger side over the course of the season, the visitors find themselves in a formidable run of form, and we fancy them to extend their unbeaten streak with another hard-fought win. Saturday certainly presents a particularly tricky test for Evatt's men, but, with sky-high confidence and the need to continue earning results to keep their playoff hopes alive, they will be difficult to stop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
54.97%23.34%21.68%
Both teams to score 53.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92%47.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68%69.32%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01%16.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89%47.12%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01%35.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23%72.77%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 54.97%
    Bolton Wanderers 21.68%
    Draw 23.33%
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.61%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.97%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.68%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth41268771442786
2Ipswich TownIpswich412413485325385
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds422412673353884
4Barnsley412561074383681
5Bolton WanderersBolton4120111055322371
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough422241671502170
7Derby CountyDerby4219121163432069
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe421981555431265
9Portsmouth4216161056461064
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury41168174953-456
11Charlton AthleticCharlton421413156259355
12Lincoln CityLincoln411219104243-155
13Exeter CityExeter421411175956353
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood421314155047353
15Bristol Rovers401410165462-852
16Burton Albion40139185476-2248
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham421211193754-1747
18Port Vale421210204263-2146
19MK Dons421110214060-2043
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd41913194051-1140
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge41117233561-2640
22Morecambe43814213971-3238
23Accrington StanleyAccrington41911213571-3638
RForest Green RoversForest Green4268283081-5126
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