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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Greenhous Meadow
BL
Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Bolton

Pennington (32'), Ogbeta (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Charles (89')
Charles (90')

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Shrewsbury are currently in a rich vein of form, and they will face a Bolton side bouyed by last weekend's victory. With the two teams separated by just a point in the table, we think that they will cancel each other out on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
36.09%26.58%37.33%
Both teams to score 52.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35%52.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7%74.29%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94%28.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28%63.72%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21%62.78%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 36.09%
    Bolton Wanderers 37.33%
    Draw 26.58%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 37.33%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd15102328141432
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Derby CountyDerby1573525151024
8Blackpool166642422224
9Lincoln CityLincoln156451916322
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe156452223-122
11Charlton AthleticCharlton156362521421
12Cambridge UnitedCambridge165561315-220
13Burton Albion165561619-320
14Leyton Orient155551418-420
15Bristol Rovers145452019119
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan157172320314
20Northampton TownNorthampton154291521-614
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood153481525-1013
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126
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