MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:39:34
SM
Saturday, April 29
FT
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
BL
Fleetwood
3 - 0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Santos (73')

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-3 Bolton Wanderers

On the back of their capitulation at the weekend, confidence will be non-existent in the Fleetwood dressing room. With that in mind, we can only back an away victory, a comfortable one as they bid to remain in contention for the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
30.52%25.59%43.88%
Both teams to score 53.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22%49.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22%71.78%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77%30.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61%66.39%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38%22.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76%56.23%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 30.52%
    Bolton Wanderers 43.88%
    Draw 25.59%
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.52%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.55%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.88%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds452712680374393
4Barnsley452681180453586
5Bolton WanderersBolton4522121159342578
6Derby CountyDerby4521131167452276
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452351773541974
8Portsmouth4517181059481169
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe45208175749868
10Charlton AthleticCharlton451613166864461
11Lincoln CityLincoln451320124647-159
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood451415165149257
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44168205059-956
14Exeter CityExeter451411206166-553
15Bristol Rovers441411195568-1353
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham451411204359-1653
17Burton Albion441410205679-2352
18Port Vale451310224768-2149
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451114204854-647
20MK Dons451111234466-2244
21Morecambe451014214575-3044
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge44127253967-2843
23Accrington StanleyAccrington451011243876-3841
RForest Green RoversForest Green4569303187-5627
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