MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 20:00:37
SM
Sunday, May 7
FT
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
BR
Fleetwood
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers
Stockley (22')
Warrington (27'), Wiredu (48'), Rooney (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gibson (56'), Ward (66')
Collins (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Both sides, who are in contention for a top-half finish, are currently separated by two in the table and this makes for an exciting battle at Highbury Stadium. However, Fleetwood have put together a fun run of form at home and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the visitors by claiming all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBristol Rovers
41.61% (-2.609 -2.61) 24.97% (0.451 0.45) 33.42% (2.162 2.16)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.706 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (-1.294 -1.29)46.07% (1.299 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-1.236 -1.24)68.37% (1.24 1.24)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-1.741 -1.74)22.1% (1.745 1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-2.702 -2.7)55.47% (2.707 2.71)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.72199999999999 0.72)26.51% (-0.718 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.949 0.95)61.71% (-0.944 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 41.61%
    Bristol Rovers 33.42%
    Draw 24.97%
Fleetwood TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.317 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.33 0.33)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.568 0.57)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.474 0.47)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.212 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.251 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Charlton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827
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