SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Exeter City |
35.5% ( -0.01) | 26.57% ( -0) | 37.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( 0.02) | 52.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( 0.02) | 74.3% ( -0.02) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0) | 28.42% ( -0) |
