Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
53.13% ( 0.01) | 24.17% | 22.69% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( -0) | 49.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( -0) | 71.48% ( 0.01) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( 0) | 18.55% |