SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Lincoln City |
68.03% ( 0) | 19.56% ( -0) | 12.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( -0) | 46.83% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.01) | 69.09% ( 0) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0) | 12.74% |
