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League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
CA
Cheltenham
2 - 2
Charlton
Keena (50'), May (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (34'), Payne (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Charlton Athletic

Cheltenham head into the game in good form, having comprehensively defeated ninth-placed Wycombe Wanderers in their last match, but they have won just one of their last four home games. Considering just eight points separate the two sides in the standings, we expect the most likely result to be a draw, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, given Charlton's poor defensive record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCharlton Athletic
39.65% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 26.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.08% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.032 0.03)73.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)25.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)60.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.75% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.094000000000001 0.09)64.59% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.65%
    Charlton Athletic 34.08%
    Draw 26.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.65%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wycombe 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Burton Albion
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Charlton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
RMorecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827
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