Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
47.42% ( -1.3) | 25.59% ( 0.4) | 26.99% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% ( -0.99) | 51.63% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.86) | 73.42% ( 0.86) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% ( -0.97) | 21.78% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% ( -1.5) | 54.97% ( 1.5) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.21) | 33.82% ( -0.21) |