SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
51.72% ( -0.09) | 24.06% ( 0.03) | 24.22% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.1) | 47.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( -0.09) | 69.7% ( 0.09) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.07) | 18.35% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.12) | 49.47% ( 0.12) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.01) | 33.9% ( 0) |
