SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
49.85% ( 0.03) | 24.8% ( -0) | 25.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.02) | 49.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.02) | 71.62% ( 0.02) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0) | 19.92% ( -0) |
