MX23RW : Sunday, January 1 23:05:22
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Sunday, January 1
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Morecambe
FT(HT: 1-0)
Delaney (77')
Connolly (23'), Shaw (25'), Delaney (78'), Fane (79'), Rawson (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 3-1 Morecambe

Burton should have confidence after last weekend's result, which would give them the edge against a Morecambe side devoid of it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
46.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 25.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 28.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.26% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)54.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 46.28%
    Morecambe 28.27%
    Draw 25.44%
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth25175346262056
2Ipswich TownIpswich24147346242249
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds24147340182249
4Barnsley22124630181240
5Derby CountyDerby23108529171238
6Wycombe WanderersWycombe2511593326738
7Bolton WanderersBolton2310762720737
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough24112113931835
9Port Vale2410592732-535
10Exeter CityExeter259793836234
11Bristol Rovers259794042-234
12Portsmouth2271052927231
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood2461172825329
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd247892927229
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2485112329-629
16Charlton AthleticCharlton2461083635128
17Lincoln CityLincoln2261062227-528
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2384111825-728
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2373132134-1324
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257102134-1322
21Burton Albion2557133250-1822
22Morecambe2449112434-1021
23MK Dons2463152336-1321
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2555152149-2820
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