SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.31% ( 0.49) | 26.39% ( -0.05) | 44.29% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( 0.44) | 53.53% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0.37) | 75.05% ( -0.37) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( 0.6) | 33.02% ( -0.6) |
