SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
70.12% ( 0.8) | 18.92% ( -0.22) | 10.97% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.51) | 47.66% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.47) | 69.86% ( 0.48) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0.08) | 12.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.16) | 38.27% ( -0.15) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.44% ( -1.37) | 50.56% ( 1.37) |
