Given the hosts' recent struggles and underwhelming home record and the visitors' growing momentum in the fight for survival, we fancy Burton Albion to spring a surprise on Barnsley on Saturday and leave with all three points, given the fine form of their attackers in particular.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.