SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
35.73% ( 0.05) | 25.41% ( 0.02) | 38.86% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.11) | 47.6% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.11) | 69.81% ( 0.1) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.03) | 25.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.03) | 60.86% ( 0.03) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.09) | 24.15% ( 0.09) |
