SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
46.34% ( -0.34) | 28.41% ( 0.11) | 25.25% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.21) | 62.73% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.73% ( -0.16) | 82.27% ( 0.16) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.27) | 27.2% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.39% ( -0.36) | 62.61% ( 0.36) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% ( 0.09) | 41.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.06% ( 0.08) | 77.94% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 14.67% 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.21% Total : 25.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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