SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
45.36% ( 0.54) | 26.06% ( -0.25) | 28.57% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.39% ( 0.83) | 52.61% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( 0.7) | 74.26% ( -0.7) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.61) | 23.13% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43% ( 0.89) | 57% ( -0.89) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.21) | 33.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.3% ( 0.23) | 69.7% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 6 |
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