SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
47.14% ( 0) | 25.59% | 27.26% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% | 51.48% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( -0) | 73.28% ( 0) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0) | 21.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% | 55.06% ( 0) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% | 33.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% | 70.16% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.26% |
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