SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
36.91% ( -0.81) | 25.06% ( 0.14) | 38.02% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( -0.66) | 45.93% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( -0.63) | 68.24% ( 0.63) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( -0.74) | 24.44% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( -1.05) | 58.87% ( 1.05) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.05) | 23.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 0.08) | 58.03% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.02% |
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