SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
26.06% ( -0) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 46.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.03) | 59.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( -0.03) | 80.2% ( 0.02) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.02) | 39.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( -0.02) | 75.85% ( 0.02) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( -0.02) | 25.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.04% ( -0.03) | 60.96% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.47% 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.06% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 13.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 46.25% |
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