SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cork City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | University College Dublin |
61.83% ( 0.08) | 21.79% ( 0.05) | 16.38% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.43) | 48.16% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.4) | 70.31% ( 0.4) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( -0.12) | 15.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.46% ( -0.22) | 43.54% ( 0.22) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.43) | 42.52% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.12% ( -0.37) | 78.88% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 61.82% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 62 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 59 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 55 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | DundalkDundalk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Cork City | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 27 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 16 | 86 | -70 | 11 |
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