Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
