Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Villarreal win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.