Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
