Atletico are in desperate need of a win, and there will be huge pressure on the visitors to triumph on Wednesday. Granada will be feeling good about themselves at the moment after back-to-back home league victories, but we fancy the reigning champions to edge a tight contest here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Granada had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
