Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
