Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
