SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Mallorca |
76.64% ( -0.11) | 15.89% ( 0.2) | 7.47% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 38.89% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -1.21) | 45.37% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -1.16) | 67.71% ( 1.16) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.98% ( -0.33) | 10.02% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.93% ( -0.78) | 33.07% ( 0.78) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.22% ( -1.01) | 56.78% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.08% ( -0.58) | 88.92% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Mallorca |
| 2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.48)3-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.63% Total : 76.62% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.89% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 7.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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