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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
RB

Barcelona
5 - 0
Betis

Felix (25'), Lewandowski (32'), Torres (62'), Raphinha (66'), Cancelo (81')
Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bartra (72'), Rodriguez (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Real Betis

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Barcelona, and we would not be surprised to see a draw on Saturday. The Catalan outfit are on a roll at the moment, though, and with Yamal and Felix potentially featuring alongside Lewandowski in an exciting front three, we can see the home side winning this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawReal Betis
67.15% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04) 19.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 13.82% (0.019 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.69% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)41.14% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.46% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)63.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.68% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)11.32% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)35.98% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)41.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01)78.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 67.14%
    Real Betis 13.82%
    Draw 19.02%
BarcelonaDrawReal Betis
2-0 @ 11.2%
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11%
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 67.14%
1-1 @ 9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.02%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 13.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-4 Barcelona
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, August 20 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Spurs
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, August 2 at 4am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Betis
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Betis
Sunday, August 13 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Burnley
Friday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Betis
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1


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